Fantasy Betting Game

Fantasy Betting Game Average ratng: 8,9/10 3991 reviews

Ed. note: The author is the COO of Star Fantasy Leagues.

  1. Fantasy Betting Games
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Online sports betting and daily fantasy sports are distinct products and regulated as such. Betting on the DraftKings Sportsbook is currently only available in certain states. To find out which states, check out our guide to where sports betting is legal. The game involves each selected fantasy player’s performance in a real sports event. Finally, the DFS operators derive profit from their operation of DFS by retaining a commission or taking a fee. In 2009, FanDuel reimagined the concept of fantasy sports, giving fans the ability to play one-day fantasy sports for real cash prizes. And despite many imitators, there’s still no better place to play. After launching in 2018, it didn’t take long for FanDuel to become America’s go-to for sports betting and the #1 online sportsbook. Fantasy Sports Betting. Fantasy sports betting has actually been around for quite some time, but never in the magnitude or with the money making opportunities that it is today. Typically, fantasy sports were done in living rooms or sports bars among a few friends in a league format to make sports more entertaining to watch. What is confusing is why fantasy sports is legal as a game of skill but sports betting is not in 46 states. Making an educated bet can hardly be considered a game of chance like playing the lottery.

[toc]The foundation of the burgeoning fantasy sports industry in the USA is built on the premise carved out in the 2006 UIGEA that companies offering daily, weekly, or season-long fantasy sports contests are operating games of skill, and therefore are not subject to federal gambling laws.

Some lawyers, policy makers, and critics contend that one-day fantasy contests are gambling, and the question of whether these games are games dominated by skill or by chance has not been broached in a state or federal court.

While the definition of ‘gambling’ differs state by state and cannot be ignored when fantasy sport operators choose where to offer their contests, Star Fantasy Leagues has set out to prove that winners of its daily and weekly style fantasy sports contests are not simply left to chance.

If you’ve ever played fantasy sports – and I have since I was first introduced to it over 15 years ago – you already know that it takes some semblance of skill to consistently remain competitive in your fantasy leagues.

I’d think that any operator who chose to start and build a fantasy sports brand was comfortable with the fact that these games are, at the core, skill-based games.

Fantasy Betting Games

There is an incredible amount of player data – in every sport – available for fantasy gamers to utilize in order to craft optimal teams in season long fantasy competitions, and even more data and nuances to consider when putting together lineups for daily or weekly style games.

And common sense would dictate that in order to be a successful general manager of a real sports franchise, which is what fantasy sports contests essentially allow you to do, you have to know something about what you’re doing in order to beat the people you’re competing against.

You’re reading this today because I’ve been asked by Chris Grove, the proprietor of LegalSportsReport, to write an op/ed about what Star Fantasy Leagues has recently accomplished alongside Gaming Laboratories International (GLI) and why it is important for the entire daily fantasy sports industry moving forward.

Star Fantasy Leagues commissioned GLI, an industry leader in game testing and certification services, to perform a skill simulation analysis on its fantasy sports contests.

Measuring how much skill matters in DFS

Specifically, Star Fantasy Leagues set out to see if skilled players dominated unskilled players in weekly salary cap style fantasy football contests, which many consider to be the most volatile fantasy sport game in terms of scoring and unpredictability.

Star Fantasy Leagues is currently in its second season of game testing for its fantasy basketball contests and final test results will be released after the conclusion of the 2014-2015 NBA season.

How the game works

Before I get into the football test results, here’s some context on the games SFL submitted for testing.

Daily or weekly fantasy sport contests differ from a traditional season-long fantasy sport contest in that you’re condensing an entire season into a single day to play a daily fantasy game.

Instead of drafting a team at the beginning of a sport season and managing that team until the season is over, you’re drafting and managing a team for a single day or week. The fantasy sports season starts and ends in the same day or week, and this creates a new, ever-changing game dynamic that I think is one of the best things that has been created for a sports fan in my lifetime.

Betting

The salary cap format

The weekly style fantasy football contests SFL tested with GLI are ‘salary cap’ games, meaning you, the player, must put together the best roster of players you can across a single week’s fantasy football contests, all while staying under the salary cap provided.

In short, you become the general manager of a fantasy football team for a week, then do it all over again the next week.

For example, let’s assume you have a $100,000 virtual salary cap for a fantasy football contest. At Star Fantasy Leagues:

  • You must fill a team with 2 quarterbacks, 2 running backs, 2 wide receivers, a tight end, 2 FLEX spots (RB/WR/TE), and a defense – a total of 10 spots.
  • Each individual player has a different salary. DeMarco Murray may cost $15,000 in cap space while Trent Richardson may cost $5,000 in cap space.
  • The aim is to put together the best team you can, balancing different player salaries, in order to make the most optimal fantasy lineup and score the most fantasy points against others who are doing the same thing, all while meeting or staying under the salary cap.
  • The player whose team scores the most fantasy points wins the contest.

For SFL fantasy football contests, player salaries are generated algorithmically and update each week based on the previous week’s statistics. For daily contests in other sports like baseball or basketball, player salaries update every single day based on stats from as recent as the day before, alongside other factors built in when considering salary generation.

These results of our work with GLI, while likely translatable to similar game styles offered by other fantasy sports operators, are only based on the Star Fantasy Leagues salaries and game structure.

How the simulation worked

After testing the Star Fantasy Leagues weekly fantasy football contests over the 17 week 2014-2015 NFL season, GLI simulations found that the “skilled” player beat the “unskilled” player 69.1% of the time.

It seems pretty cut and dry that this should show skill – no matter how little – dominates over pure chance.

Let’s dig deeper into it.

A skilled participantwas defined as a participant with full knowledge of the fantasy performance of all players for the previous week at the moment of roster selection. The skilled participants chose their rosters based on the fantasy performance of players from the previous week and their respective weekly fantasy salary.

This did not include additional information that a human might use to craft a lineup, including injury status, strength of an individual player against an opposing team, or any other skill point. We would contend that adding these dynamics in against a purely random lineup would increase the win rate much higher than 69.1%.

An unskilled participantwas defined as a participant that chose their lineups at random from the list of eligible players without any informed decisions. No prior knowledge of past game play or points earned per game was considered, and the unskilled participants had to utilize at least 90% of the salary cap provided.

From here, a computer program was created that drafted a single skill based roster for each of the 17 weeks of the NFL season.

Skill-based rosters were set by GLI using a custom algorithm that valued all available players based upon:

  1. Their weekly salaries, and
  2. Their fantasy performance from the previous week.

This algorithm was then applied to the game supplied by Star Fantasy Leagues to create a fantasy roster.

In the first week of the season the skill-based roster was selected “randomly” since there were no benchmarks to use for player selection. I put “randomly” in quotes to denote that GLI’s proprietary testing process used certain algorithms to calculate an optimal lineup, but it was based solely on math and not on historical player statistics.

In week two, the same math was used to allocate cap space for position in a lineup, but it also took into account all player performances from the previous week. This process was repeated over the remaining weeks of the season.

The unskilled rosters were set by:

  1. Compiling a list of all eligible players in the player pool that were not listed as inactive.
  2. Rosters were then filled utilizing a minimum of 90% of the salary cap space.

For every skilled roster that was created, 1,000 randomly generated unskilled rosters were built, and this scenario represented a single fantasy contest. The skilled roster was then matched head to head against all 1,000 unskilled rosters.

Result: skill dominates chance

After compiling all of the results, the skilled player won just under 70% of the time over the course of the season.

This should go without saying, but I’m going to say it anyway: The difference between skill-based gaming and chance-based gaming is that skill-based gaming is predominatedby skill, and chance-based gaming is predominated by chance.

If that’s not clear, let’s put it into numbers.:

  • If skill and chance were equal factors in a contest, you would say that a contest is 50% skill, 50% chance.
  • If skill prevailed over 50% of the time, it would be fair to say a contest is dominated by skill.
  • If chance prevailed 50% of the time, it would be fair to say a contest is dominated by chance.

In these simulations, skill prevailed over chance almost 70% of the time. Add in the human element and we’re looking at an even higher number.

To expand on this point, we took the results of this study a step further to test our theory, and cross-referenced Star Fantasy Leagues player data against the GLI test results.

Over the course of the 17 week NFL season and 35,277 unique valid lineups, we found the SFL customer’s average fantasy football score to be 139.90, which sat in the 93rd percentile of scoring against the 17,000 unskilled rosters.

Further, we took a look at the weekly high scores on Star Fantasy Leagues for each of the 17 weeks of the football season.

Cross referencing this against the 17,000 random lineups that were created throughout the course of the season (and applying our skilled lineup against the 1,000 weekly unskilled lineups), there was only 1 instance where an ‘unskilled lineup’ prevailed against our skilled lineup.

That means 16,999 times out of 17,000, the skilled lineup we provided beat a randomly generated lineup.

In percentages, that means the SFL skilled lineup won 99.994% of the time against the unskilled lineup.

Why did we do this?

The answer is twofold.

Reducing legal ambiguity

One, we did this because the people that built Star Fantasy Leagues love fantasy sports as much as much as the other 41 million – and growing – people that enjoy playing these games in the USA.

We want to make sure that we protect the interests of our customers’ favorite pastime, and protect our interests as a business in a legal environment fraught with ambiguity about how to handle fantasy sports as it relates to gambling law.

Let me help you – this is not gambling against the house. It is a peer-to-peer interaction where a player’s skill relative to the other will, on the aggregate, determine the winner of a contest. And it’s fun.

Balancing innovation and compliance

The second reason was to drive home the point that, in my opinion, not every game touting itself as fantasy sports appears to be a skill-based game, and I’ve seen some that I would be surprised to see fall on the right side of the skill versus chance spectrum if they were put through testing.

If that’s the case, certain games shouldn’t be classified as fantasy sports games, they should be classified as gambling games with a sports theme.

I’m not going to name any names in this piece, and if you ask me in person I’m still not going to answer that question. What I have seen, though, are games that look a whole lot like banking games, games that look a whole lot like prop betting, and games that appear to contravene the most basic tenets of the fantasy sports section in the UIGEA.

What I don’t see is how they resemble the salary cap style fantasy sports games that we’ve crafted.

This is not to say that the concept behind these games is bad or that I’m against their existence; in fact it’s quite the contrary. My point, though, is that when a market becomes more saturated, you’re unlikely to make a dent in it unless you have a unique selling point or a differentiating factor to your business. As the daily fantasy sports gaming vertical grows in popularity – and it will continue to – we’re likely to see new products pushing the envelope of what is legally permissible and calling it innovation.

Innovation and competition are important, but if innovation steps over the line of what is legal and what is not, it puts a black mark on those that work hard to stay firmly on the right side of it.

This is not to say innovation should be stifled, but innovation and timing should be very carefully considered when you’re introducing new products into today’s real money gaming market.

………….

These fantasy sports games are games that get me more excited about watching sports. These are games that keep me glued to a broadcast, even in a blowout, if I’m still rooting on one of my players. These are games that allow me to stay connected with my friends from when I went to school.

These are games that allow me to have friendly competition and banter with people in my workplace. These are games that spawn flourishing Internet communities, connecting me with people from around the world I might not otherwise meet. These are games that allow me to sit on the couch with my father and root with or against him over a beer.

These are games that allow me to fulfill my childhood fantasies of owning and managing a sports team.

Since the skill versus chance debate is such a hot topic, it’s often overlooked that fantasy sports makes for incredible entertainment. Win or lose, I’m in the game when I’m competing. My fan experience is that much better.

As a customer, I don’t care how it’s classified. As a business, the results of this study help to show that it’s classified correctly.

This is one argument that is ready to be put to bed.

Fantasy sports betting has actually been around for quite some time, but
never in the magnitude or with the money making opportunities that it is
today. Typically, fantasy sports were done in living rooms or sports bars
among a few friends in a league format to make sports more entertaining to
watch. Occasionally a few bucks or a few beers were bet on the leagues, but
they mainly served a recreational purpose.

Today, thanks to technology and a few smart minds, fantasy sports has
exploded out of our small living room gatherings and into the mainstream big
time. You now have the ability to win more than just a few bucks and bragging
rights. You’ve got the ability to win thousands and sometimes millions of
dollars on fantasy sports all from the comfort of your own home. If you’re new
to the concept or are looking to find out more about fantasy sports betting,
you’ve come to the right place. We are going to systematically walk you through
everything you need to know to understand fantasy sports and get started playing
like a pro.

What Are Fantasy Sports?

Fantasy sports are a type of game where participants (you) create virtual
teams of real players (pro athletes) from a particular sport. The participants
then compete against other participants in various different formats. Points are
scored, and the winner is determined based on how the participant’s virtual
player selections perform in real live games.

Misconceptions

Here are a few quick misconceptions about fantasy sports that we’d like to
clear up before moving forward. Misconceptions are common with new types of
betting or types of betting that are growing in popularity.

Fantasy sports do not have to be the entire length of a season

Recently we have seen the introduction of daily fantasy sports that shorten
the duration of the competition to one day or one week. We will go into this
more in depth in the dedicated sections below.

Fantasy sports can have extremely different scoring options

There are similar tendencies for the scoring rules that people have
gravitated to, but for the most part, there is a lot of flexibility when it
comes to the scoring rules of fantasy sports. The consistent part of the scoring
is that it is based on how the pro athletes you have selected perform in actual
sports competition.

Fantasy sports do not mean just football

If it were only football, it would be called fantasy football, and the phrase
fantasy sports would not exist. It is important to point out that fantasy
football is the most popular by a lot. For that reason, most of our examples we
use today will be football related, but the correlation to other sports will be
mostly the same. Fantasy sports are available in all of these sports and more
are being added all the time:

  • Baseball
  • Basketball
  • Formula 1 Racing
  • Golf
  • Hockey
  • Horse Racing
  • Mixed Martial Arts
  • NASCAR
  • Tennis

To tie all of this together and make it much more clear, we are going to show
you two different examples of fantasy sports and how they are set-up. Here’s an
example of how fantasy sports works in football. If you’ve ever been in a
fantasy sports league with friends before, this will sound the same as it is
actually the same. This specific example is about American football as it is the
most popular sport for fantasy sports, but keep in mind the setup is the same
for most sports.

Example One – Exclusive Private League Format

This format is what we will refer to as an “exclusive style” private league
format. This format is going to be the most similar to a neighborhood fantasy
football league that you may have participated in before. What we mean by this
is the following:

Exclusive Style – This means that once a player is on someone’s team, no one
else can draft or use that player. They are excluded once they are selected. If
someone selects Tom Brady to be on their team, no one else can select Tom Brady.

Private – This format is a league between friends that you must be invited
too. These are typically smaller and also have a smaller potential for big
payouts unless you are playing in a huge buy-in league with a lot of risk.

League Format – This refers to the duration of the contest as well as how a
participant wins. The duration in this format is usually the length of the
season. In this format, a participant wins by defeating a single opponent that
is pre-selected each week. The opposite of this would be an open format where
the participant competes against 100% of the other participants at once and the
highest score overall wins.

The Example

A group of friends get together and are going to compete in a fantasy
football league. The friends take turns drafting a certain number of players to
be on their virtual team to fill a certain number of positions. These players
are picked from the current pool of players in the NFL. The NFL players are
never notified they are now “on your fantasy team.” Everything is virtual and
does not involve the actual players. It might be surprising to you that we felt
the need to point this out, but you would be pleasantly surprised. After a
player is selected, no other player can select them in this most basic format
(this will change in other formats we will discuss later.)

After the friends had finished their virtual draft, each of them would now
have a collection of real NFL players that are on their fantasy team. Each
week, the friends will all select which of their players they want to “start”
and have active for their team that week. There are specific limitations on how
many players from each position can be playing for you to ensure that every team
has the same number of players from the same positions. If this weren’t the
case, it would be unfair as certain skilled positions have the tendency to score
more points than others. As the actual NFL games are played for that week, the
friends are awarded points based on how their active NFL players perform.

For example, each of the friends is required to have one quarterback playing.
Let’s say you are part of this league and you have Aaron Rodgers. Every time
Aaron Rodgers throws or runs for a touchdown, you get a certain amount of
points. Every time he passes for a certain amount of yards, you get a certain
number of points. This is the same for all of your positions on your team. At
the end of the week, the owner of the virtual team with the most total points is
the winner.

Typically in this league style format, every virtual team does not play
against all of the other virtual teams. They have their own season where they
will play against one other friend in the league. If they score higher than that
friend, they get a win, and their friend gets a loss. The next week they will
play against another one of their friends in the league in the same format. The
season-long winner is determined by a playoff system that operates the same way.
Score more points that the person you are playing against, and you win.

Throughout the duration of the league, the friends are also able to trade
players and pick up new players if they become available. As the person in
charge of your virtual team, you are referred to as the owner.

Example Two – Daily Fantasy Open Competition Format

Daily – The time frame of this format will usually be one day or one week of
the season. It can sometimes be a little bit longer, but the point is that it is
over and winners are paid out in a much shorter time frame than the league
format.

Open – This format allows players to pick whoever they want to be on their
fantasy team. There are restrictions we will discuss, but any participant has
the ability to select any player no matter how many other participants have
selected them. If everyone wants Tom Brady, everyone can have Tom Brady. There
are strategy drawbacks to this we will discuss later, though. The standard
format here also has all participants competing against all other participants
at the same time. Highest point total wins.

The Example

You want to play fantasy football for the Sunday games only for the first
week of the season. You’re not interested in having to wait all season to see if
you are a winner and are interested in mixing it up in a big tournament where
you have the chance to make big bucks.

You’re required to fill a certain number of fixed positions. You can only
select one player for each slot. The common slots are the following for a total
of nine players:

  • 1 Quarterback
  • 2 Running Backs
  • 3 Wide Receivers
  • 1 Tight End
  • 1 Flex (can be a running back, wide receiver, or a tight end in most
    formats)
  • 1 Defense

You are free to select any active player that is playing that Sunday for
these slots. Now, you might think that most participants are just going to pick
only the best and that will be that. To combat this, each player active has a
price tag on them for that week. The better the player is and the more points
they’re projected to score, the higher their cost. For example, Tom Brady may
cost $8500 to put on your team, while Coby Fleener might cost $2800. You are
given a salary cap of $50,000 usually that you can spend however you want to
fill your nine slots. You must fill all of your spots while staying within those
budget constraints.

After you have your roster selected, you are locked in for the competition.
There are no trades or picking up new players (unless you make a change before
the games start). The virtual team with the most points at the end of the day
will be the winner. Points are awarded in the same fashion as the league format.
The more positive things the player does, the more points they are awarded.
Ultimately, if you pick the players that perform the best for the duration of
the competition, you are going to be the winner.

We will discuss how the payouts work for this format in the dedicated Daily
Fantasy Sports section below.

Daily Fantasy Sports – Rules and Examples

The fastest growing sect of fantasy sports is
daily fantasy sports. As we identified in the example above, these competitions are typically much shorter
in length than the traditional league format and usually pit participants
against all of the other participants at the same time. These competitions also
normally use the open format allowing any participant to select any player they
want, regardless of how many times they had been selected by other participants.
For the remainder of this article, this is the format that we will focus on as
it is the most popular, fastest growing, and offers the biggest and best
opportunities to make money.

Rules for Picking Players

Picking players in a daily fantasy sports format are based on getting the
highest performing players while still staying within your salary cap. When you
enter a competition, you are given a certain amount of virtual money (known as
your salary cap) that you are allowed to spend to fill your spots. For football,
this is typically $50,000. This number has absolutely nothing to do with how
much the entry fee for the competition is or anything like that. It is strictly
play-money that everyone gets. If you play in a $1 competition, you get $50,000
to spend on players. If you play in a $1000 competition, you get $50,000 to
spend on players.

You are allowed to pick any players you want to be on your team as long as
you stay within the salary cap limits. You will not be able to see who everyone
else is selecting until after the games begin and your picks are locked in. This
is extremely important when it comes to strategy as we will discuss later. For
now, just realize that you are able to pick anyone you want for that week.

Scoring Points

Points are scored based on how well the players on your team you have active
do for that game. When the competition is set-up, these scoring rules will be
clearly laid out as they are important for you to pay attention to when
selecting your team. For example, some formats tend to give a lot more points to
the things quarterbacks do. If this is the format you are playing in, you
probably want to spend more money on a great quarterback and cut back in some
other departments. Remember, you don’t ACTUALLY have to spend more real money.
We are only referring to your virtual salary cap money that you get.

Fantasy

Here is an example of the scoring set up for the quarterback position on
DraftKings, a popular daily fantasy sports betting website.

  • Passing TD = +4 Points
  • 25 Passing Yards = +1 Point (+0.04 Points per yard is awarded)
  • 300+ Yard Passing Game = +3 Points
  • Interception = -1 Point
  • 10 Rushing Yards = +1 Point (+0.1 Point per yard is awarded)
  • Rushing TD = +6 Points
  • 100+ Yard Rushing Game = +3 Points

So let’s say that your quarterback throws for 250 yards, 2 passing
touchdowns, 1 running touchdown off a QB sneak, and 1 interception. You would
receive the following points for the QB position:

10 points for the passing yards

8 points for the passing TDs

6 points for the rushing TD

-1 point for the interception

————————————–

Total Points = 23

This same principle is applied to all of your nine positions, and the points
are added to compute your total. The team with the most overall points is the
winner and the teams below that are ranked in order of total points.

How the Betting Works

Now that we know how the teams are picked, how the points are scored, and how
we win, let’s talk about how the wagering works in daily fantasy sports and how
we actually make some money. In daily fantasy sports, there are two main types
of competitions you can enter into – Cash Games and Tournaments.

Cash Games

Cash games are set up and scored exactly the same as we laid out in the
sections above. The difference is in how they are paid out. Cash games refer to
competitions known as 50/50s or head-to-head competitions. In a 50/50 league,
half of the participants will win double their buy-in and the other half will
win nothing.

Example:

For example, let’s say you buy-in to a $10, 50/50 league that has
500 players in it. All you have to do to win money is be in the top 250 (50%).
If you finish in the top 250, you will win $20 ($10 profit). If you finish in
the bottom 250 (50%), you get nothing. In this format, it does not matter if you
finish first or 250th; the payout is exactly the same.

The second format, head-to-head, is a format where you only compete against
one other player. Score higher than that player and you double your money. It’s
that simple. The player you play against could be a random person, or it could
be a friend that you invite to your head-to-head competition. It does not matter
how many points you score, but only that you score more than the person you are
competing against.

The important part to note about this format is that nothing else matters
except making it into the payout zone. It doesn’t matter how many points that
takes or how well you do against the other players in the payout zone. All that
matters is you finish ahead of the number of players you need to, and you will
double your money. Note that the most you can make in this format is 2x your
money.

Tournaments

Tournaments are also referred to sometimes as GPP format or Guaranteed Prize
Pool format. In this format, team selection and scoring rules will be the same
as outlined above and the same they are in the cash game format. The
difference here is that you will be competing against every single player in the
tournament at the same time. In this format, it does matter how many points you
score and not just that you eek into a scoring zone.

Payouts for tournaments are typically done to a fixed percentage of the
field, usually around 15%. The higher you finish within that 15%, the more money
you receive. For example, let’s say you buy-in to a tournament, and there are
100 people. You can expect that the top 15 people will get paid something with
14th getting more than 15th and so on with 1st place getting the most money.

The reason this format is commonly referred to as GPP is that most of the
online sites running these competitions will guarantee a prize pool for the
competition. What does that mean? Here’s a small example. Let’s say you buy-in
to a $10, $1000 guaranteed daily fantasy tournament. No matter how many people
sign up, the sports book will be paying out $1000 combined minimum to the
winners. This does not mean $1000 to every winner, but just a total of $1000
(maybe $800 to first, $200 to second, or something like that) If five people
sign up, the total prize pool will be $1000. The sportsbook will have to add the
additional $950 to the prize pool to make up for the missed guarantee. This
doesn’t affect you at all except that you are now getting a lot of free money
thrown into your tournament!

The sportsbook would need to get 100 entrants to meet their guarantee and not
have to add any additional money. If the tournament gets more than the needed
100 entrants, the additional money just goes into the prize pool. 101 entrants
would be $1010 prize pool…102 would be $1020 prize pool. The sportsbook does not
cap the prize pool; they only guarantee that no matter how few entrants they
get, the payouts will be of a certain size.

Benefits of Playing Daily Fantasy Sports

Shorter Season, Faster Payouts

Fantasy sports are a lot of fun, but they take a huge time commitment and
require you to be attentive for the entire duration of the season. Some people
are ok with this, but others prefer the freedom and flexibility to get in and be
done with a competition in a day or a week. This means that if you absolutely
crush it, you are able to get your winnings immediately without having to wait
months on end to see if your win holds up.

Not Tied to a Failing Team

One of the worst things about season long fantasy sports is the fact that you
are stuck with the team you draft from day one. If that team is terrible, you’re
out of luck for the season and have to wait till next year to get a team you can
actually care about. If you draft a dud of a team in daily fantasy sports, you
only have to wait until the next day or the next week, and you get a brand new,
fresh restart.

No Limitations on Players

One of our favorite things about daily fantasy sports is the open player
selection format. There is nothing more frustrating than identifying a player
that you think is going to blow up and having someone else select them before
you. In this format, that will never happen to you as anyone can pick any player
they want as long as they stay within their salary cap.

The Ability to Win Big

Let’s say you play in a 12 person fantasy sports league with a $20 buy-in.
Typically, these leagues are going to pay out the top two or three players with
first getting maybe $150? For the sake of this argument, though, let’s assume
that it’s winner take all and you have the potential to win $240 on your $20
investment.

Now let’s look at that same $20 investment in a daily fantasy sports
competition. Every Sunday of the NFL season they run a tournament on DraftKings
where for $20 you can win $1,000,000 for first place. No, that is not a typo.
You can literally win a million dollars off of a $20 bet. Is it easy? Heck no.
But it’s possible if someone wins it every week of the NFL season.

Fantasy Betting Game

Player vs. Player, Not the House

Fantasy betting games

When you play roulette, you are playing against the casino, and they always
have the edge. When you play any casino game, this is true. It is mathematically
impossible to win in the long run against the house. What’s great about daily
fantasy sports is that you are not competing against the house, but you are
competing against other players. This means that there is no house advantage or
edge and the winner of the competition will typically be the most skilled
player. Sure, luck will come in occasionally, but in the long-run, the best will
win. The sportsbooks and sites running these competitions are merely
facilitating the competition. They could not care less who won. This means that
it is definitely possible to be a long-term winner and crush the competition
with a winning strategy.

Entertainment

This really should be number one on our list. Daily fantasy sports are just a
blast. For some players, they love the research aspect leading up to the
competition. They love trying to find sleepers (cheap players that will over
perform) and love trying to put together the perfect lineup. For some players,
they love the action of sweating the games where everything is now important.
Games that never mattered before are now the biggest game of the week for them.
Some players live for the bragging rights. They just want to put in that perfect
lineup so they can collect their payday and talk smack to their buddies about
how they are the supreme brain when it comes to their sport of choice.

Regardless of what your motivation is, daily fantasy sports are insanely fun.

The best part is that you don’t have to make a huge investment for the chance to
win big. Buy-ins as low as a couple dollars can net you hundreds of thousands of
dollars every weekend if you can nail the perfect lineup.

Many of the sites also offer free buy-in events for you to try it out where
you can actually win real money! We’ll list some of our favorite sites at the
bottom of this page with some links to get you some freebies for trying them
out.

Daily Fantasy Strategy

If anyone tries to tell you there is no strategy associated with daily
fantasy sports, they’re clearly clueless. Daily fantasy sports is a format of
sports betting that allows you to put your knowledge and reading ability to the
ultimate test and the better and sharper you are, the more money you stand to
make. While a lot of the
strategy for daily fantasy sports is sport dependent
(football strategy for football, NASCAR strategy for NASCAR, etc.), there are a
lot of tips and tricks that apply to all or most of the sports offered.

Being successful at daily fantasy sports is ultimately about getting your
mind thinking the proper way and looking for the things that you need to be
looking for. It’s not just about picking the best players that you think will do
the best. That is what the suckers look for. Let’s get into some of these tips,
and you will see what we are talking about.

Look For Value

If you just picked all of the best players in the league, you would probably
get the highest score. Unfortunately, you are not allowed to do this because of
your salary cap. This limits you from just picking the best of the best. So how
do you go about building your lineups? Start by looking for value. Look for
players that you think are going to over perform their cost.

For example, let’s say Tom Brady is $9,000 and is projected to get 25 points.

Let’s also say that Blake Bortles is $5,500 and is projected to get 20
points.

You would probably be initially tempted to take Tom Brady because he is going
to score more points, but let’s take a look at this from a value perspective.
The best way to do this is to look at how many points you are projected to get
per $1000 of salary cap you spend.

For 9 thousand, we will get 25 points with Tom Brady. To calculate points per
thousand (PPT), we will divide the points by how many thousands he costs. So,
25/9= 2.77 points per thousand. So for every thousand, we spend on Tom Brady, we
should get 2.77 points.

For Blake Bortles, we will get 20 points for 5.5 thousand. So we divide
20/5.5=3.63 points per thousand. So for every thousand, we spend on Blake
Bortles, we should get 3.63 points.

As you can see, Bortles is a much better bang for our buck and might be
someone we should seriously consider picking up. There are other factors that go
into this decision, but you can now understand what we mean by looking for
value. A lot of times you will see the middle of the pack players that are way
undervalued for how they are going to perform. A lot of professional daily
fantasy sports bettors like to start building their lineups based off of a few
key value players they see for the week.

Don’t Overspend on the Top Unless You Have To

A lot of new daily fantasy sports players have a tendency to overspend on the
big names of the week. The problem with this is two-fold. First, you waste a lot
of money on one player that might have a bad week and kill your entire lineup.
It’s tough to put all your eggs in one basket and can really have a bad outcome.
Second, it becomes an issue if you pick a player that everyone else is picking.
We will go more into this below in the variance section, but keep it in the back
of your mind until then.

Important Note

There are times that you have to pick
up the top guy even though he costs you an arm and a leg in your salary cap

If a player is going to have that big of a game, you are sometimes handcuffed and
have to spend the money on them. This happened a few seasons ago with running
back Devonte Freeman and happens with quarterbacks often. This will be
completely up to you on when you should or should not pull the trigger on the
big names. Some of the tips and tricks below will help make this more clear,
specifically the matchups and player chasing sections.

Know the Scoring Rules

This is EXTREMELY important. It’s so important that we put the word extremely
in all caps. Different tournaments and different websites will have different
ways that they score competitions. You need to know this because in a lot of
sports it will impact where you want to spend the most money. For example, if a
competition gives six points for a passing touchdown instead of the standard
four, you should definitely spend more time and effort on getting a great
quarterback.

Not understanding the scoring rules can shoot yourself in the foot before you
even start picking your lineup. It only takes a few minutes, and it is clearly
posted on every single website. Once you read it and understand it, most sites
are the same for all of their competitions unless it is clearly stated
otherwise.

Understand the Format (Ceilings)

We talked earlier about the fact that there were two main types of formats –
Cash Games and Tournaments. Depending on which format you are playing will
depict what type of lineup you will select. If you are playing a cash game
format, it does not matter if you have the top score or a middle of the pack
score. All that matters is that you make it into the payout zone. This means
that you are going to want to avoid the gamble players and go with the tried and
true workhorses.

Fantasy Betting Games

A gamble player is a player who has the potential to
have an insanely big week but also has the potential to do absolutely nothing.
These players are usually a lot cheaper but can kill your lineup if they have a
bad week. In cash game format, you don’t need these players that might blow up.
You just need to make a solid lineup with players that perform how they are
supposed to, and you should easily slide into the money.

The common term for this potential blow up is a player’s ceiling. Their
ceiling is how high they can score on their absolute best day. Gamble players
are going to have a very high ceiling, but are extremely risky. Reliable players
will have a much lower ceiling but are much more likely to get the job done.
Bottom line in cash games is to avoid the high ceiling gamble players and stick
to the reliable workhorses.

If you are playing in a tournament format, it is important how many total
points you score. You will probably never have the winning lineup if you don’t
include a few gamble players that have the potential to hit a huge ceiling. This
is because you HAVE to have one of the top scores to make some big money. If you
play a cash game style lineup in a tournament, you might make it into the payout
zone but you will always be towards the bottom and only making a few bucks at
most.

Make sure you know which format you are playing in and make sure that the
lineup you submit takes that into account.

Look for Variance

Let’s look at an exaggerated example to make our point here. You are playing
in a 10 person tournament. All 10 players select Tom Brady as their quarterback.
Tom Brady scores 8 million points. Awesome, right?! Nope. It’s great that he
scored that many points, but you didn’t get ahead of anyone else in the
competition because everyone else also got those 8 million points. Sometimes
this is ok if a player is going to score THAT many points. There are times your
hand is forced, and you have to go with some popular picks. You will never know
before a tournament how many people selected someone, but you can usually have a
pretty good idea.

In cash game formats, variance is not very important. Just pick the best
lineup that you can, and you should do just fine. In tournament format, this is
extremely important. You are looking for ways to get ahead of everyone else.
This becomes really tough if you all have the same players. Try and look for
players that are going to have big weeks that other people might not be picking.
Don’t go crazy here though and pick a lineup of only third string players. Just
try and introduce a little variance where you can and don’t force it if it
doesn’t fit.

Fantasy Betting Games

Use Multiple Lineups

Having trouble picking between a few players? Not to worry. Just put in a few
lineups. What is really cool about daily fantasy sports is that you have the
potential to win big for a small investment. If you were to have multiple teams
in a normal league, it would not be a positive expected value move. What we mean
is that it wouldn’t be worth buying the extra team. If you were playing in the
12 person $20 tournament we talked about earlier where first was $150, two teams
would cost you $40 for the potential to win only $150. In daily fantasy sports,
though, if you put in two lineups, it would cost you $40 for the chance win
$1,000,000. As you can see, it becomes a much smarter move to spend for the
extra lineup if you want to in daily fantasy sports.

This is great to do in tournament format when you have a few high-ceiling
players that you are having trouble picking between.

Look at Matchups

One thing that new daily fantasy sports players forget to do often is to look
at who the team is playing against. For example, if you are in a football
competition, just because someone is a great running back does not mean they are
a great pick that week. They might be matched up against the best running
defense in the league and are going to have a tough day. You can look at this
the other way as well. A player who is less of a superstar might be poised
to have a huge day if they are playing against a worse defense or a team with
key defensive players out.

Here’s an example. Let’s say you are playing in an NFL daily fantasy sports
tournament. One of the best positions to look for high ceiling/gamble players is
the wide receiver position. These players have a tendency to have a mediocre/bad
day or absolutely go off. We like to look at the defense they are playing
against.

How are they ranked against the pass? Are their key defensive players
healthy?

If their defensive line is injured or banged up, the quarterback is
probably going to be passing more. If their starting safety is out or will be
watching a higher profile player, they might be poised for a big day. The bottom
line here is not to just look at the players, but take a look at who they have
to match up against.

Also to note, some players are what we call matchup proof. These are the
players that are just THAT good that it doesn’t matter how good the defense is;
they are going to get the job done. Keep your eyes out for these players.

Don’t Chase Players

This is one of the biggest no-no’s that we see players do over and over
again. A guy will have a huge week, and then everyone and their mother will have
them in their lineup the next week. This means that the player is awful
regarding variance (everyone has them) and most of the time people don’t realize
the big week was due to a favorable matchup. Yes, it is important to pay
attention to which players are getting hot and which are not, but make sure you
don’t let it cloud your logic of what the matchup for that week or day looks
like.

Injuries Go Both Ways

If you haven’t paid much attention to any of the tips yet, please pay
attention to this one. Injuries are the biggest killer to a lineup and
simultaneously the biggest booster to some lineups in daily fantasy sports. We
want to start with a short personal story to demonstrate what we mean. This is a
true story, though, we will leave names and details out to protect the ignorant.

A friend is a huge daily fantasy sports player. This friend puts
$20,000-$30,000 into fantasy football lineups in every weekend. They had set all
of their lineups for the Sunday games and set their alarm to get up before the
games to once over everything. They overslept. No big deal, though, right?
They’ve already set their lineups, and it’s not like much can change. Well, a
lot did change. The running back that was their star pick in 70-80% of their
lineups got injured overnight and was moved to the bench for the game. They now
had 80% of their lineups running with only eight players. Safe to say, it’s
impossible to win with fewer players, and they lost a lot of money that week.
Had they replaced the injured player, they would have had a huge week as the
rest of their lineups were great.

The moral of the story here is the first point we want to make about
injuries. You HAVE to check your lineups all the way up until game time to make
sure that you are not playing a player that is injured and on the bench. Once
the game starts, your lineup is locked in, and you cannot make any
substitutions. This doesn’t mean you’re going to have to have every different
ESPN on to stay up to speed on this. Most of the sites offering daily fantasy
sports will update you immediately on your lineup when a player is ruled out.
They don’t always update them in time so do pay attention to the players that
are questionable.

Don’t kill your lineup before the games start by
leaving an injured or suspended player in your lineup.

The second thing we want to point out about injuries is that they create
opportunities to pick up some serious value. You need to understand how the
player pricings are set or more importantly when they are set. The major sites
will set their salary prices on players at the beginning of the week, and they
will not be changed ever. This means that if Devonte Freeman is $8,000 and then
breaks his leg on Tuesday, he will still show up as $8,000.

When a player gets injured, someone has to step up and play in their
position. This backup player will have been priced at the beginning of the week
at the bare minimum probably because they weren’t expected to play. This means
that you can pick up a now starter for an insanely low price. Their value will
be so far through the roof, it won’t be funny. Yes, a lot of other people will
jump on this as well, but you would be surprised how many people don’t pay
attention to these things.

Also, if a player is questionable to play throughout the week, they could be
a good gamble to take depending on the circumstances (for tournament format
only). The reason for this is that most people are lazy and don’t want to have
to keep checking back and forth to see if the player is going to play or not.
They’ll just opt to put someone else in their lineup to make things easier. If
this is the case and the player plays, they may score a ton of points, and
almost no one will own them. This is the ultimate variance play. Keep in mind,
though, that there is a reason they are questionable. Most likely it is because
they are injured or teetering on the edge of being injured which could impact
their performance or playing time. The bottom line is to stay on top of injury
reports and be mindful of how they might help or hurt your lineups.

Stick to Sports You Know

This is advice we always give in regards to any form of sports betting, and
it continues to be true with daily fantasy sports. The key to winning here is
having the edge over your opponents and being able to pick a better lineup than
they do. If you are trying to select a lineup for a sport you know nothing
about, you are going to make mistakes and end up making some bonehead moves that
are going to cost you money. Stick to the sports that you are most comfortable
with and if you need more action, learn a new sport first before you start going
wild with the betting on it.

The Wrap-Up

As you can probably tell by now, fantasy sports and daily fantasy sports are
an insanely fun type of sports betting that will continue to grow in popularity
and influence as more and more people are introduced to it. As more people come
on board, the prize pools will get bigger, and the skill level of those
competing will get worse. This creates a perfect storm for you to make a lot of
easy money if you can learn to craft the perfect lineups.

If you’re ready to get started with daily fantasy sports, it can be a bit of
a daunting task to try and pick where you want to play or what site is the best
for you. All of the sites have a lot of different pros and cons and it can get a
bit overwhelming. We have gone ahead and put together a short list of our
favorite and most trusted sites to get you started. These sites also have some
of the best bonuses and biggest tournaments available. Take a peek at a few of
these and we’re sure you will find a daily fantasy sports home that is perfect
for you.